Field notes

The Blog

Long reads on financial modelling and FP&A, conversations with the founders, and the thinking behind the platform, beginning with the manifesto we wrote on the very first day.

The Novi manifesto: Easy, Simple, Pragmatic, Powerful, around a figure at the centre of a financial modelling platform
The Headcount Plan: a finance leader in an evening office studies a translucent holographic dashboard headed 'The Headcount Plan', showing budget-vs-actual bars, a departments breakdown, a recruiting pipeline, a Q3 forecast and total FTEs
FP&A

The Headcount Plan

Most lines in a model are abstractions: revenue is a curve, opex a category. The headcount plan is the one where the cells have names. It's the heaviest line in the model (people are usually the largest cost a business carries) and the most fragile (alone among the schedules, its cells are decisions about people's lives), and the two facts are connected. How to model it honestly, and what changes when the roster and the P&L are one structure.

Why 13 weeks? A desk calendar beside a rising bar chart made of banknotes and coins climbing toward week 13, with a laptop dashboard behind, captioned 'the logic behind the standard cash horizon'
FP&A

Why 13 weeks?

The most oddly specific number in finance: not a quarter, not ninety days, but exactly thirteen weeks. The precision isn't an accident. Why thirteen (a quarter counted in weeks), why weekly (cash crises don't respect month boundaries), and why it rolls: the turnaround origin, the standard lenders now demand, and the logic behind the standard cash horizon.

Zero-based budgeting: a finance leader sketches an empty budget grid on a glass panel, starting from a single zero, captioned 'every expenditure must be justified from a zero base'
FP&A

Zero-based budgeting

The most-promised, least-understood idea in budgeting: build every budget from nothing, justify every line, inherit no number. An honest assessment after the consulting gloss wears off: the real disease it cures, where it earns its keep, the famous case where it ate the seed corn, and the four pitfalls that sink most rollouts.

Time is the hardest dimension: a country road winding into the distance with roadside signposts marking the months, January through May, like mileposts, the foliage shifting from spring blossom to autumn colour along the way
Foundation

Time is the hardest dimension

It looks like the easy one (twelve months, four quarters, a year rolls over) and that familiarity is exactly the trap. Pull the thread on almost any modelling mess and you often find a time problem wearing a costume. The half-dozen ways time refuses to behave: more than one calendar, two relationships at once, grain, horizon, absolute vs. relative, and a past that won't stay put.

What is variance analysis? A dark monolithic delta, the Greek symbol for change, floating above a still fjord between snow-capped mountains: the gap between plan and actual given form
FP&A

What is variance analysis?

The task FP&A performs more than any other, and the one most teams stop halfway through: they report the number and never reach the reason. What variance analysis is, the convention that trips everyone up (Actual − Budget, or Budget − Actual?), the price–volume split, and the wall it hits: where "which lever moved" can't tell you "what moved the lever".

Naming conventions that survive: a holographic model tree where cryptic leftovers like Table1 and Link_final_FINAL resolve into clear plain-language names such as Revenue by Product and Cost Centres
Foundation

Naming conventions that survive

Open a model you built eighteen months ago and you meet "Table1", "New Dictionary", "Link_final_FINAL". The model survived, its meaning didn't. Novi lets you name things in plain language; this is how to spend that freedom well. Five habits, a cheat-sheet for every artefact, and the one test that tells you whether a name will last.

What 'AI-readable' actually means. A hand-drawn schematic of a well-structured model read by both a new analyst and an AI agent, with three pillars: structure, names and lineage
FP&A EPM 3.0

What "AI-readable" actually means

Every platform promises your numbers are "AI-readable". Almost none say what it means. It comes down to three old finance virtues: structure, names and lineage. A model an AI can read is the same model a new analyst can read on their first morning. Score yours against eight questions, none of which mention AI.

The fire drill always wins. An FP&A office where a stack of binders labelled 2024 Budget and Q3 Forecast burns while a colleague aims a fire extinguisher at the flames: the scheduled planning work going up as the ad-hoc request is fought
FP&A

The fire drill always wins

Finance keeps two calendars (the scheduled one on the wall and the one with no dates on it) and the second wins almost every time. Part of that firefighting is the permanent nature of the job; a good deal of it is not the question's fault but the model's. Why budgeting takes three months, and what can actually change.

A blueprint-style schematic titled What is a financial model? A real business reduced to mathematical rules, a system of record beside an analytical model, and the three-statement foundation branching into valuation, operating and what-if model families
Foundation

What exactly is a financial model?

A plain-language definition (clear enough to explain to your boss or your child) and a tour of the families of model finance uses. What a model is, why it's always an approximation, how it differs from a system of record, and the valuation, operating and what-if families.

From numbers to narrative: a flow from a beaker of figures (the governed model) through a human-and-AI synergy layer with a So-What lens and an Ownership pen, to a spotlit one-page board pack and a boardroom labelled Trust
FP&A The FP&A Department · 3 / 3

From numbers to narrative: storytelling as a core function

A model can be perfect and still worth nothing, because it does not attend the board meeting. On finance storytelling as a core function (the four questions, the one-page pack, narrating the miss) and why AI drafts the story but must never hold the pen on the conclusion. The finale of the series.

The craft: building models, and keeping them alive. A planning model drawn as a patched Frankenstein machine labelled THE MODEL, tended by one analyst while a robotic arm marked AI bolts on new parts
FP&A The FP&A Department · 2 / 3

The craft: building models, and keeping them alive

Models don't break. They decay. How planning models are born and why they rot; what the research says about spreadsheet errors and the 18%-vs-86% overconfidence gap; the model owner who is an institution of one; and why AI makes building faster but owning no faster at all. Part 2 of a short series.

What is an FP&A department actually for? A solid recorded line of actuals meets a red marker labelled Now, then fans into dotted future scenarios
FP&A The FP&A Department · 1 / 3

What is an FP&A department actually for?

Accounting records what happened; FP&A argues about what should happen next. Thirty years alongside finance departments, written down honestly: the mandate, what the function is not, the three organisational shapes, and the unnamed model owner whose departure quietly kills planning models. Part 1 of a short series.

Every Engine Is a List of Debts: the SFMT swan in layered graphite and copper metal; serene on the surface, extreme machinery underneath
Product EPM 3.0

Every Engine Is a List of Debts

An architecture is not a triumph. It is a list of debts, and the only difference between engines is which creditors they chose. SFMT, the engine beneath Novi, explained engineer to engineer: the latency paradigm, the grid, append-only recalculation, the four debts we refused, and the bills we pay instead.

Where the Engine Sits: a hand-drawn cross-section of a company as a layered building, with the analytical engine and its blue network of connections sitting on top of the transaction and process layers
Foundation

Where the Engine Sits

A conversation with a serial company-builder. Every company runs on three layers: a transaction layer where data is born, a process layer that runs the business, and an analytical engine on top. Keep the engine free of process weight, and the company can think.

Do we really need an EPM? Finance working in a modelling platform, the thinking layer it owns end to end, rather than exporting to Excel
FP&A EPM 3.0

Do we really need an EPM?

Or would a modelling platform be enough? Finance logs into the EPM, exports to CSV, then builds the real model in Excel, because the model is where finance thinks, and Excel is the last place it still owns the model end to end. The case for a modelling platform, not a planning suite.

Shift Data Left. Why EPM projects fail at the finish line: data treated as a final checkbox versus validated from Day One
FP&A

Shift Data Left

Why ERP and EPM projects look perfect on paper and fall apart at the finish line. Data isn't a final checkbox on the right of the timeline. It's the foundation. Drag migration, cleansing and profiling to Day One, and go-live becomes a non-event.

EPM 3.0: model comprehension. An AI that accumulates knowledge and understands the whole model, clearing the dark legacy corners
FP&A EPM 3.0

EPM 3.0: model comprehension

Hidden knowledge and forgotten artefacts are said to block AI in finance, but AI might be the remedy. Its overlooked value isn't automation, it's the accumulation of knowledge: an agent that understands every driver, formula and dependency, dark legacy corners included.

EPM 3.0: the readable model. The EPM evolution from 1.0 cubes to a 3.0 model an AI can read
FP&A EPM 3.0

EPM 3.0: the readable model

Every fifteen years, enterprise planning reinvents itself. EPM 3.0 isn't another platform, and it isn't a bot drafting your board pack. It's AI that comprehends the entire model: every formula, driver and relationship, legible at once. The next platforms will compete on whether their model can be read.

The Wednesday Test. The CEO's unscheduled question, answered board-grade that same day or not: agile versus non-agile finance
FP&A Agile Finance · 6 / 6

The Wednesday Test

Finale of the Agile Finance series. The CEO walks in unannounced and asks what happens to your covenants under a shock. A board-grade answer that same day, or not. The binding constraint it exposes isn't tools or talent. It's culture.

The AI Phase Change: from comprehension distributed across humans to a planning model an AI agent can hold whole
FP&A Agile Finance · 5 / 6

The AI Phase Change

Part 5 of the Agile Finance series. The productivity story about AI in finance is true, and small. The real phase change is the collapse of the model-comprehension bottleneck. The prerequisite isn't the model. It's the semantic clarity of the model.

The Benchmark Lie: days-to-close and APQC/Hackett measure process, not impact; the shock-response curve measures real agility
FP&A Agile Finance · 4 / 6

The Benchmark Lie

Part 4 of the Agile Finance series. Days-to-close, APQC, Hackett: they measure what's easy to count, not what's hard to do. The benchmark worth using is the shock-response curve. If it doesn't compress year over year, your technology investment is paint on rust.

The Threshold. Finance leads operational decisions by exactly one cycle: one beat ahead, never two
FP&A Agile Finance · 3 / 6

The Threshold

Part 3 of the Agile Finance series. "Are we agile enough?" is the wrong question. Agility is relative to the volatility you face. The real threshold: finance leads operational decisions by exactly one cycle. One beat ahead, never two.

The Four Layers of agile finance (decision, model, data and organisational) and the invisible one that is the real binding constraint
FP&A Agile Finance · 2 / 6

The Four Layers

Part 2 of the Agile Finance series. Agility lives in four layers: decision, model, data, organisational. Most teams buy the visible ones and under-invest in the invisible ones that actually bind. You cannot buy your way out of the organisational layer.

The Word We Broke. Recovering the meaning of agility: speed under stability versus the broken, faster-but-fragile definition
FP&A Agile Finance · 1 / 6

The Word We Broke

Part 1 of the Agile Finance series. "Agile" usually means "faster without changing anything structural". That's wishful thinking, not agility. A gymnast is agile; a toddler running downhill is just fast. Recovering what the word should mean.

The CFO isn't evolving. The toolkit is: a seasoned CFO at his desk as a colleague brings over a laptop
FP&A

The CFO isn't evolving. The toolkit is

"The CFO role is evolving": the same article, a thousand times, each as breaking news. After 30 years in enterprise finance: the CFO was always strategic. What changed is the tools, the data, the latency. The offering is finally catching up.

Whose model can the AI actually read? A confused AI facing a messy EPM model versus a clear AI reading an AI-legible one
FP&A

Whose model can the AI actually read?

Every EPM vendor is racing to bolt AI on top. It's a sideshow. Hand an agent the keys to a real tenant (14 P&L modules, a ZZZ_DELETE cost centre still wired into live formulas) and it will sound brilliant, and be wrong. Five questions to ask any vendor.

What self-service in EPM actually means: re-shaping the model itself at the speed the business changes
FP&A

What self-service in EPM actually means

One of the least-defined phrases in enterprise planning. Not editing assumptions on a dashboard: re-shaping the model itself, at the speed the business changes. And why it's the same property real AI in finance depends on.

Why AI alone cannot do FP&A: the three-layer reality
FP&A

Why AI alone can't do FP&A

An LLM can write three plausible scenarios. It can't produce a reconciled P&L, balance sheet and cashflow under each. Why FP&A needs a modelling engine underneath the AI, not just words about numbers.

EPM 3.0: the agent era. The three eras of enterprise performance management
FP&A EPM 3.0

EPM 3.0: the agent era

Not the work: the category. Enterprise planning in three eras: IT, cloud, and now agents. Why the platform you log into is the shape of the last era, and a copilot bolted onto a destination is still a destination.

Econometrics vs. FP&A: understanding the past versus steering the business
FP&A

Econometrics vs. FP&A

They share a toolkit but answer different questions. One understands an external economy; the other steers an internal business. Why most "AI for finance" pitches keep solving the wrong problem, elegantly.

The hidden value of FP&A
FP&A

The hidden value of FP&A

What is financial planning actually worth? A $50bn question hiding in plain sight, and why the prevention paradox makes it so hard to answer.

The model marketplace revolution: a conversation with Novi's founders
Story

The model marketplace revolution

The founders on building a painkiller for FP&A: production-ready models you own and modify yourself, no consultants required.

Three building blocks: Dictionaries, Tables, and Links
Product

Three building blocks: the DNA of every financial model

Dictionaries, Tables, and Links. That's the whole alphabet, and it's enough to model any business on earth.

The puzzle of a perfect team
FP&A

The puzzle of a perfect team

Google spent two years and 180 teams to find the one thing that makes a team work. It turned out not to be talent.

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